The Trump Effect (On Toronto Real Estate)

13 December 2016

With the election of Donald Trump in the U.S. people are asking me about the Trump effect on Toronto Real Estate. First, don't expect any Americans to move here, that was just celebrity talk. Do expect more people to move here from other parts of the world. That's all thanks to the Donald, who has made the U.S. less hospitable to immigrants. The other impact from this election is a jump in interest rates. Bond rates, which impact Mortgage rates are 1% higher today than the market low in the summer. However, they are still below rates in 2014. The primary reason for the rise is investors are worried about inflation and massive Government deficits from Trump's plan for massive infrastructure spending. My take? Not all the spending will take place, and there is still too much cheap money in the world.

Implications of Canada's New Mortgage Rules

17 October 2016

On October 3rd, a firestorm hit the real estate market when the minister of finance announced two changes to mortgage rules. Last week we discussed what those mortgage rule changes where. This week we want to take a look at what the implications will be of the new mortgage rules, especially those of people having to qualify for the posted rate as opposed to the actual rate for their mortgage. Will Prices Fall? First off, with buyers having less money to purchase, will prices fall? The answer is no. In real estate, if the Sellers don't get their price, that is what the last property sold for, they just take the property off the market. They do not reduce their price. What About First Time Buyers? First time Buyers will have two choices going forward, buy smaller, not low rise but condos, or continue to rent. For those trying ... Read More

New Mortgage Rules

07 October 2016

On October 3rd, a firestorm hit the real estate market when the minister of finance announced two changes to mortgage rules. Closing the Loophole The first rule was to remove the principal residence exemption for non residents. But think about it, how can a non-resident have a principal residence in Canada, Impossible! But now we're closing that tax loophole and that will have little impact on the real estate market. 'Stress Test' on Insured Mortgages The Second change is more serious. Now, both high ratio and conventional mortgages insured under CMHC and two other companies must be qualified under the posted rate, and not the actual rate. Remember, for people who took out 5 year mortgages, they used to be able to qualify at the actual rate. The bad news is that the posted rate is about 2% higher than the five year rate.

State of the Union When it Comes to New Mortgage Changes

05 October 2016

The Federal Government continues to tinker with mortgage rules that it can control in an attempt to slow down real estate markets, particularly in Vancouver and Toronto. The first change, to remove the Principal Residence Exemption, for non-residents described as closing a tax loop hole is a nothing. Revenue Canada has never defined a Principal Residence and so non-residents claimed it. Think, how can a non-residenct have a principal residence in Canada? Impossible! But that is what you get from bureaucracy. Almost all non-residents buying property in Canada never considered this a factor in buying. Neither should you when advising clients. The second change, making BOTH high ratio and conventional (under 80% loan to value) borrowers qualify under the Posted Rate instead of the fixed five year rate of their mortgage will reduce the amount of money that people can borrow.